Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has averaged 26.8 points per game away from home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
Ja Morant has attempted 20.4 field goals per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
Ja Morant has attempted 8.3 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Ja Morant has played 31.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

While at home, the Warriors have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Warriors is a hard one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted just 26.3 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to attempts from downtown.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a challenging one for threes; when playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (25.3%).
Ja Morant will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production for all stats.