Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 23, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has scored 26.8 points per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the best in the NBA in this category.
Ja Morant has attempted 20.9 shots per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
Ja Morant has attempted 8.3 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.
Ja Morant has played 31.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 84th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Kings is a hard one for shots from the field; while playing at home, opposing squads have shot for the lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (50.3%).
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games in terms of attempts from downtown.
The matchup against the Kings is a hard one for field goal attempts; when playing at home, opposing starting PFs have tallied the 2nd-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.8).
Ja Morant will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to lowers player performance in all facets of the game.