Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2023

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 20, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has posted 27.4 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 97th percentile.
Ja Morant has attempted 20.1 field goals per game away from home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Ja Morant has attempted 8.3 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Ja Morant has tallied 31.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Lakers have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Lakers is a challenging one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 5th-lowest three rate in the NBA since the start of last season (31.6%).
The matchup vs. the Lakers is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game while playing at home since the start of last season (8th-least in the NBA).
Ja Morant will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers player production in all facets of the game.