Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has sunk 11.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Ja Morant has attempted 5.2 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league.
Ja Morant has attempted 8.5 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Ja Morant has played 31.5 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Suns have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year while on the road (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Suns may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a measly 26.1 free throws per game this year on the road (5th-least [IN_THE_LEAGUE]).
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season at home as it relates to attempts from downtown.
The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Suns.
The matchup against the Suns is a tough one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (30.4%).