Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz · Jan 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has converted 11.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made over the course of the season.
Ja Morant has attempted 6.2 3-pointers per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.
Ja Morant has attempted 9.2 foul shots per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
Ja Morant has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (which also produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When playing on the road, the Jazz have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Jazz is a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a lowly 24.6 free throws per game this year (9th-least in the league).
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season, which ought to reduce possessions for the Jazz.