Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2023

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Orlando Magic vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 5, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has attempted 20.8 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Ja Morant has sunk 85.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 13.3% more than he's made overall this year.
Ja Morant has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which can also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league this year.

Favors Under

Ja Morant has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (98th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Magic is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; the other team have tallied the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (37.5).
Ja Morant will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually lowers stat production across the board.