Ja Morant Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 8:14 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has posted 8.0 assists per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric in recent games.
Ja Morant has averaged 31.9 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The 7th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Grizzlies.
Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have secured 9.7 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Ja Morant rates in the 93rd percentile for technical fouls, posting a colossal 0.1 fouls per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).