Ja Morant Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Clippers · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 7:56 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-159/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +109 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -159.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has compiled a terrific 8.1 assists per game this year, a significant increase from his 7.2 assists per game last year.
Ja Morant has played 31.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Ja Morant will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to increases player production across the board.

Favors Under

Ja Morant has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (95th percentile).
The Clippers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Grizzlies.
The Clippers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).