Ja Morant Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has posted 9.8 assists per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 1.8 more than he's posted over the course of the season on the road.
Ja Morant has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Ja Morant has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games while playing at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Timberwolves.
Ja Morant will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player performance for all stats.