Ja Morant Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2022

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 29, 2022

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has compiled 7.8 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 99th percentile.
Ja Morant has averaged 32.4 minutes per game this year on the road, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA in recent days: 88th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Raptors have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year on their home court (which also provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ja Morant has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Raptors.
Ja Morant will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.