Ja Morant Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2022

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 27, 2022

Updated Dec 27, 2022 1:57 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+112/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has put up 7.9 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile.
Ja Morant has averaged 32.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (which also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.
Ja Morant will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually raises player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Ja Morant has averaged 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Suns have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which can also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).