Ivica Zubac Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Ivica Zubac

C · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 5, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 11:09 PM EST

Analysis

Ivica Zubac Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ivica Zubac has attempted 13.7 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.
Among all players in the league, Ivica Zubac registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 32.6 minutes per game at home this year.
With respect to shooting, the Clippers's stellar 118.8 points per game rates 8th-best in the league over the last 10 games.
The LA Clippers are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
The showdown with Dereck Lively II with respect to getting to the foul line lands in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a whopping 3.9 foul shots per game this year when they are at home.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Ivica Zubac places in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.2 fouls per game this year.
The matchup against Dereck Lively II is a tough one for threes; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have tallied a measly 0.5 3-point shots per game (3rd percentile).
The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the LA Clippers.
The Clippers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ivica Zubac has converted a lowly 61.6% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 72.2 mark last year.