Isaiah Stewart Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Stewart

F-C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Stewart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Isaiah Stewart has tallied 30.4 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have secured 7.2 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).
Isaiah Stewart has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
As a team, the Pistons have been terrific at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: 5th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying 23.8 foul shot attempts per game.
Isaiah Stewart will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 9.3 shot attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, resulting in a challenging matchup.
The 9th-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Brooklyn Nets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.