Isaiah Joe Points - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Isaiah Joe

NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Joe

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 3:13 AM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Joe Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Isaiah Joe has sunk 2.6 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Isaiah Joe places in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, tallying just 1.2 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
With respect to shooting, the Thunder's excellent 120.4 points per game measures as the 5th-highest in the NBA this year.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Kings have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should boost opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

This matchup is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Kings are the visiting team, the other team has shot for the 3rd-highest 3-point rate in the league against them this year (39.1%).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with just 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have attempted 24.7 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.
Isaiah Joe will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance across the board.

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