Isaiah Joe Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Joe

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 14, 2023

Updated Apr 14, 2023 1:51 PM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Joe Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Isaiah Joe has played 24.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.0 higher than he's played over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have put up the 28th-highest three rate in the league this year (39.8%).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Isaiah Joe has successfully made 32.2% of his field goals over the last 15 games, -8.8% lower than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage (7th-least in the league).
Isaiah Joe will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to worsens stat production in all stat categories.