Isaiah Hartenstein Points - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2023

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Isaiah Hartenstein

NBA · Player Props

Isaiah Hartenstein

C-F · New York Knicks

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · May 12, 2023

Updated May 12, 2023 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Isaiah Hartenstein has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 32.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

Favors Under

Isaiah Hartenstein has successfully made a mere 20.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, significantly lower than his 41.7 rate last year.
Isaiah Hartenstein has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (86th percentile).
The New York Knicks rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against the Heat is a hard one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (12.0).
The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.

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