Herbert Jones Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 3:11 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+126/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -156 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has put up 1.4 offensive boards per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's best by this standard over this stretch of games: 83rd percentile.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Herbert Jones has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which should reduce possessions for the Pelicans.
Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have collected 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (7th-most in the league) against the Nuggets (saving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).
Herbert Jones will likely experience a decrease in production across the board in light of being on the road in this contest.

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