Herbert Jones Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has averaged 2.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.
The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the 6th-fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8thbest in in the NBA at home with 10.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
This year, opposing teams have come down with 10.6 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (losing possessions that could otherwise create more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Herbert Jones has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (96th percentile).

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