Herbert Jones Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2023

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 2, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+118/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has averaged 2.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Mavericks have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Herbert Jones has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Pelicans.
Herbert Jones will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually lowers player production across the board.

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