Herbert Jones Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2023

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 31, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has compiled 2.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's compiled overall this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Herbert Jones has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games when playing at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.
Herbert Jones will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens player performance for all stats.

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