Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2026

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Orlando Magic · Apr 5, 2026

Updated Apr 5, 2026 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-107/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled 20.2 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, branding this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.
The 9th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise opportunities for the Pelicans.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 6th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Orlando Magic may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted an enormous 5.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Pelicans rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.

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