Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2026

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 3, 2026

Updated Apr 4, 2026 1:54 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a strong one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (18.1).
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Sacramento Kings).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
This year, opposing starting SGs have attempted 4.7 free throws per game (highest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

In terms of treys, the New Orleans Pelicans's poor 34.6% rate of converted threes places 6th-lowest in the league this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.

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