Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2026

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 16, 2026

Updated Mar 17, 2026 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 3rd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to three-point shots, the New Orleans Pelicans's feeble 10.5 sunk threes per game as the home team measures as the weakest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a challenging one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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