Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2026

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Phoenix Suns vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 6, 2026

Updated Mar 7, 2026 1:49 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have totaled 1.9 3-pointers per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, creating a strong matchup.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the league with 12.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Pelicans's lackluster 112.9 points per game without the home court advantage places 10th-lowest in the league this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.
The matchup vs. the Phoenix Suns may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the league).

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