Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2026

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 5, 2026

Updated Mar 6, 2026 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-132/+103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pelicans have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 7.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a tough one for threes; when the Kings are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have put up the 9th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (30.6%).

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