Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2026

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 3, 2026

Updated Mar 4, 2026 3:29 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 17 games when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Lakers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Pelicans's lackluster 112.7 points per game away from home measures as the 9th-lowest in the league this year.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 37.1% on shots from the field (3rd-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, creating a difficult matchup.
The Pelicans are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from squaring off against the 6th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

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