Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2026

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat · Feb 11, 2026

Updated Feb 12, 2026 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games on their home court.
The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out best in in the NBA as the home team with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.

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