Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has successfully made 55.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 13.9% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.
Herbert Jones has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a strong one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (19.0).
The Pacers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Herbert Jones has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
While playing away from home, the Pacers have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).