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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has converted 57.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 8.1% higher than he's made overall this year.

Herbert Jones has sunk 53.4% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 16.0% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season.

This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, resulting in a strong matchup.

The 6th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA away from their home court this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The Pelicans are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).

While on their home court, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Boston may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Celtics have the home court advantage (11th-least in the league).

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