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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 1/13/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has made 64.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 29.7% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year.

The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games at home, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.2% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

The matchup vs. Dallas may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.5 free throws per game over the last 17 games when the Mavericks are playing at home (23rd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 0.8 threes per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a difficult matchup.

The most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.

Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have come down with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (retaining possessions that can create more chances for offense).

More Herbert Jones Player Props

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