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Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-145/+110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Pelicans have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team.The Timberwolves have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should boost possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 7thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.Herbert Jones has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.3% higher than he's made overall this season.Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (25th-highest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the league, Herbert Jones rates in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game away from his home court this year.With respect to three-point attempts, the 4th-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Pelicans.The matchup against Minnesota is a difficult one for threes; when the Timberwolves are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have totaled the 15th-least treys per game in the NBA this year (1.3).While at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).Herbert Jones is expected to see a decline in productivity for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.
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