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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Relative to last year's 46.4% mark, Herbert Jones's field goal ability has spiked this year to 52.8%.
  • Herbert Jones has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the road team.
  • The Pelicans check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have captured 9.8 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (losing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones places in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 3.5 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
  • In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Pelicans's subpar 10.8 converted threes per game places 4th-weakest in the NBA this year.
  • This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 10.8 field goal attempts per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, marking this as a difficult matchup.
  • The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Pelicans.
  • This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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