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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has converted 86.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 54.3% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.

Herbert Jones has tallied 28.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 75th percentile.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup against the Kings is a strong one for scoring; the other team's starting SGs have posted the 29th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (47.7%).

The Kings have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should boost possessions for the Pelicans.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (97th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.7 free throws per game this year when the Kings are on the road (12th-least in the league).

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