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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 3/30/2023

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has sunk 70.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 16.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season on the road.

Herbert Jones has converted 55.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 21.0% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year away from his home court.

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (14.2).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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