Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New York Knicks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has been on the court for 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 more than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The matchup vs. the Knicks is a positive one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs this year (16.7).
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing at home, the Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Herbert Jones has sunk 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Favors Under

Herbert Jones has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing away from home this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Knicks have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pelicans.
Herbert Jones will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually decreases player production in all stat categories.