Herbert Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2023

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has successfully made 57.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 5.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season away from home.
Herbert Jones has averaged 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Lakers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Herbert Jones has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the least aggressive offense in the league when playing away from home this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Herbert Jones will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsens player production for all stats.

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