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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has made 58.7% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 11.5% higher than he's made over the course of the season.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home (which can also produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Timberwolves.

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a positive one for shots from the field; their opposition have compiled the 9th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (46.9%).

Herbert Jones will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improves player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has attempted and missed 1.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 more than he's missed in all games this year.

Herbert Jones has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (97th percentile).

The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a tough one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a mere 26.6 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (2nd-least in the league).

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to attempts from downtown.

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