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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/23/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat

Herbert Jones Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has sunk 51.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 12.1% more than he's made in all games this season.

This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, marking this as a good matchup.

The Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 6.2 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to additional opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (94th percentile).

In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Pelicans.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

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