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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Assists
Player Prop - 2/23/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat

Herbert Jones Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+106/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 6.2 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to additional opportunities for offense).

Herbert Jones figures to see a rise in productivity in all facets of the game on account of having the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (94th percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

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