Herbert Jones Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 1:14 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has averaged an impressive 3.2 assists per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 2.2 assists per game last year.
Herbert Jones has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the road team.
The Pelicans check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have captured 9.8 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (losing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones places in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 3.5 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Pelicans.

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