Haywood Highsmith Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Haywood Highsmith

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Mar 2, 2025

Updated Mar 2, 2025 8:05 PM EST

Analysis

Haywood Highsmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Haywood Highsmith has made 71.2% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 28.9% more than he's sunk in all games this year when playing at home.
The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. New York is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the New York Knicks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have shot for the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (48.0%).
Haywood Highsmith has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 44.4% higher than he's made over the course of the year when playing at home.
Haywood Highsmith figures to see an increase in performance in all facets of the game due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The least up-tempo pace home team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should decrease plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Knicks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.