Haywood Highsmith Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Haywood Highsmith

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 17, 2025

Updated Jan 17, 2025 9:04 PM EST

Analysis

Haywood Highsmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to offense, the Miami Heat's exceptional 115.3 points per game when playing at home ranks 8th-highest in the league over the last 10 games.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on threes (5th-best in the NBA) against the Nuggets, creating a positive matchup.
The Miami Heat will likely get a boost in opportunities today from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest tempo away offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Favors Under

The 2nd-most sluggish pace home team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.