Haywood Highsmith Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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Haywood Highsmith

NBA · Player Props

Haywood Highsmith

F · Miami Heat

Points

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 12:05 AM EST

Analysis

Haywood Highsmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a positive one for scoring; when the Magic have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 10th-highest FG% in the league this year (49.9%).
Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 20.8% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year on the road.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.4 foul shots per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Magic, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Haywood Highsmith will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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