Haywood Highsmith Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2024

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Haywood Highsmith

NBA · Player Props

Haywood Highsmith

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 24, 2024

Updated Nov 25, 2024 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Haywood Highsmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Haywood Highsmith has sunk 51.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 9.2% more than he's made over the course of the year.
Haywood Highsmith has played 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's played in all games this year.
In regard to 3-pointers, the Heat's superb 38.3% rate of successful threes rates 5th-best in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).
The matchup vs. Dallas may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Mavericks are the visiting team (6th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).
The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Out of all players in the league, Haywood Highsmith registers in the 11th percentile for free-throw efficiency with a bad 54.2% rate this year.

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