Haywood Highsmith Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 6/4/2023

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Haywood Highsmith

NBA · Player Props

Haywood Highsmith

F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat · Jun 4, 2023

Updated Jun 4, 2023 6:46 PM EST

Analysis

Haywood Highsmith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Haywood Highsmith has made 55.0% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 24.8% higher than he's converted in all games this season.
Haywood Highsmith has averaged a terrific 16.0 minutes per game this year, a big improvement over his 6.7 minutes per game last year.
The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Nuggets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Haywood Highsmith has averaged 1.4 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 0.6 fouls per game last season.
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Haywood Highsmith will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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