Harrison Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2024

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Harrison Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Harrison Barnes

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Washington Wizards · Nov 13, 2024

Updated Nov 14, 2024 12:55 AM EST

Analysis

Harrison Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Harrison Barnes has averaged 0.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 6th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the league while playing at home this year.
The matchup against the Washington Wizards is a good one; they have given up the 9th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (18.6).
The Wizards have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league this year, which should lead to more plays for the Spurs.
The matchup against the Wizards may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Spurs have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the league this year.
The Spurs have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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