Harrison Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Harrison Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Harrison Barnes

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 1:02 AM EST

Analysis

Harrison Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Harrison Barnes has attempted 6.0 threes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, resulting in a strong matchup.
The Kings are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 6th-best in in the league with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
Harrison Barnes has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 18.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this year with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

The Kings have been the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games.

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