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Harrison Barnes

Harrison Barnes Points
Player Prop - 3/4/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Chicago Bulls

Harrison Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Kings rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Bulls have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Harrison Barnes has successfully made 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's made over the course of the year while on his home court.

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 4.5 free throws per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Chicago Bulls, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Harrison Barnes ought to get a boost in output in all facets of the game due to possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a tough one for three-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have shot for the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (23.9%).

The 9th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

The Chicago Bulls have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Sacramento Kings.

As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Sacramento Kings's unimpressive 19.7 free throw attempts per game rates 5th-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.

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