Harrison Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

NBA · Player Props

Harrison Barnes

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Harrison Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Harrison Barnes has converted 54.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 11.8% higher than he's converted over the course of the season without the home court advantage.
Harrison Barnes has sunk 1.9 threes per game this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Harrison Barnes rates in the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 29.4 minutes per game this year.
The 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to three-point shots, the Sacramento Kings's poor 33.9% rate of made threes without the home court advantage ranks 5th-fewest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 40.6% on shots from the field (13th-worst in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, branding this as a difficult matchup.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Kings.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have nabbed 12.2 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) against the Timberwolves (continuing possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).