Harrison Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Harrison Barnes

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Harrison Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-124/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Harrison Barnes has put up 17.4 points per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 4.0 higher than he's put up over the course of the season on the road.
Harrison Barnes has made 3.0 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season when playing away from home.
Harrison Barnes has played 29.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 78th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Kings have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 3.9 3-point attempts per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The Sacramento Kings will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.